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Troy @ Georgia State
Current Records: Troy 5-6; Georgia State 6-5
The Georgia State Panthers and the Troy Trojans are set to square off in a Sun Belt matchup at 2 p.m. ET Nov. 27 at Center Parc Stadium. Georgia State should still be feeling good after a win, while Troy will be looking to get back in the win column.
The Panthers beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves 28-20 last week. Among those leading the charge for Georgia State was CB Jamyest Williams, who rushed for two TDs and 125 yards on 16 carries.
Meanwhile, Troy’s and the Appalachian State Mountaineers’ contest last week was up for grabs at halftime, but Troy was thoroughly outmatched 35 to nothing in the second half. The Trojans were pulverized by the Mountaineers 45-7. Troy was down 31-7 at the end of the third quarter, which was just too much to recover from. QB Gunnar Watson had a pretty forgettable game, throwing one interception with only 5.14 yards per passing attempt.
The Panthers are the favorite in this one, with an expected 6.5-point margin of victory. Those burned by picking them against the spread last week might want to keep in mind that the team has not yet dropped back-to-back games against the spread this season.
Georgia State is now 6-5 while the Trojans sit at a mirror-image 5-6. Two offensive stats to keep in the back of your head while watching: Georgia State is 200th worst in the nation in passing yards per game, with only 159.6 on average. Troy has experienced some struggles of their own as they are stumbling into the matchup with the 196th fewest rushing yards per game in the nation, having accrued only 103.6 on average. It’s possible one of these Achilles’ heels will wind up tripping the losing team up.
The Panthers are a solid 6.5-point favorite against the Trojans, according to the latest college football odds.
The oddsmakers were right in line with the betting community on this one, as the game opened as a 6.5-point spread, and stayed right there.
See college football picks for every single game, including this one, from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. Get picks now.
Georgia State and Troy both have three wins in their last six games.
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Nvidia: Quantitatively Speaking Still Overvalued – Seeking Alpha
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News
This is my first article about NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA). I readily admit that I do not fully understand the specifics of the company and what investors see hidden in it. Therefore, at this stage, I offer a comprehensive, quantitative analysis of the company’s fundamental value.
The easiest way to get a first idea of the adequacy of the company’s current price is to look at the dynamics of its capitalization in the context of the dynamics of key results. As a rule, this allows you to identify persistent regressions.
Based on the long-term relationship between the revenue TTM absolute size and the company’s capitalization, NVIDIA’s current price is somewhat overvalued:
The same is true for the relationship based on the EPS TTM absolute size:
On the other side, over the past seven years, NVIDIA has shown a direct relationship between the rate of revenue growth and its P/S multiple. It should be noted that there is no similar qualitative relationship between EPS and earnings growth rate. In my opinion, this means that the rate of revenue growth is now a key driver of capitalization.
In the context of the last model, the company is now also overvalued. But more importantly, the expectation of a decrease in the revenue growth rate indicates a potential decrease in the P/S multiple in the coming quarters.
So, having determined that revenue is a key driver of company capitalization, we can build a general model that determines the company’s balanced price:
Under this approach, NVIDIA’s modeled capitalization is lower than the actual one within about two standard deviations. And the nearest forecast also does not justify the current price of the company.
Using elements of machine learning, I analyzed many options for comparative assessment of NVIDIA through multiples. As a result, I found only three models that allow a more or less reasonable judgment of the relative value of the company. To my surprise, all of these models are based on growth-adjusted multiples. This suggests that growth is a determining factor in the level of NVIDIA multiples.
A comparative valuation of NVIDIA through the forward P/E (next FY) to growth multiple indicates that the company is undervalued by 18%. But the quality of this model is not high enough:
Judging by the proposed multiples, I cannot make an unambiguous conclusion. The only thing that can be stated is that the company’s growth rate is a determining factor in the level of NVIDIA multiples. The slowdown should significantly reduce the level of its multiples.
When predicting NVIDIA’s revenue for the next ten years, I proceeded from the average expectations of analysts. According to consensus forecasts, in the next decade, the company’s annual revenue will exceed $160 billion.
NVIDIA’s operating margin has reached 35% in the last quarter. This is close to the historical maximum of the company. But the model is based on the assumption that the operating margin over the next 10 years will gradually decline to 30% in the terminal year. This is a standard approach based on the likely increase in competition.
Here is the calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital:
Here’s the model itself:
(in high resolution)
The DCF-based target price of NVIDIA’s shares is $233, offering 12% downside. At the same time, in my opinion, I considered a relatively positive scenario for the future development of the company.
Looking at NVIDIA in the context of free cash flow, I want to draw your attention to one important indicator – the free cash flow yield. It shows how much the company generates free cash flow per dollar of its market price.
Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow TTM / Market Capitalization
I compared this figure of NVIDIA with other technology companies and closest competitors. Alas, the company’s figure is the lowest:
The free cash flow that NVIDIA generates for every dollar of its capitalization is about 1%. This is lower than the US 10-year treasury yield. I don’t even compare with inflation. In general, this is a wake-up call for an investor.
From October to November last year, NVIDIA’s share price rose nearly 80%. During this period, two gaps were recorded. These gaps have defined strong support levels. And the first of these levels seems to have already been broken. In my opinion, before the level of the second support is reached, it is premature to talk about the completion of the correction.
I do not share the optimism of those who believe that NVIDIA is an extremely attractive investment at its current price. I won’t jump to conclusions about the company’s long-term potential just yet, but it’s highly likely that the decline will continue in the short term.
This article was written by
Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Sony's PlayStation Direct initiative will let lucky users buy 'limited' PS5 stock – TechRadar
How to Watch UCLA vs. Utah in Men's College Basketball: Live Stream, TV Channel, Start Time – CalBearsMaven
UCLA is 4-0 on the road this season and won four of its last five game against Utah. The Utes will need to play their best game of the season to have a chance at beating the Bruins.
How to Watch UCLA vs. Utah in College Basketball Today:
Game Date: Jan. 20, 2022
Game Time: 11:00 p.m. ET
TV: FOX Sports 1
Live stream the UCLA vs. Utah game on fuboTV: Start with a 7-day free trial!
Utah (8-10, 1-7) lost in heartbreaking fashion against Arizona State in its last game. The Sun Devils hit a shot with 4.6 seconds remaining in the game to win 64-62.
Three players scored in double figures, but the Utes have struggled on the offensive end the entire season. They have failed to score more than 70 points in five straight games. However, Utah will get a boost when leading scorer Branden Carlson, who is sidelined with an ankle injury, returns to the lineup.
Meanwhile, UCLA (11-2, 3-1) has been nearly impossible to beat since its loss to No. 1 Gonzaga in November. The only loss the Bruins have suffered came last Thursday in overtime against Oregon. They bounced back with an 81-65 win over Oregon State last Saturday, trailing for less than a minute in the game.
Johnny Juzang leads UCLA with 17.2 points and 5.1 rebounds per game. The Bruins have been without Jaime Jaquez Jr., who is questionable for this contest.
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